Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023

Gedania Gdansk

1 - 0

Jarocin

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Zalewski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gedania Gdansk in this III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gedania Gdansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Gedania Gdansk

Draws

90%

Jarocin

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gedania Gdansk have won more games recently than Jarocin.
90% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 16%

Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gedania Gdansk	Jarocin
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	1	4
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2023 III Liga - Group II

Gedania Gdansk vs Jarocin

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sep 10, 2022 III Liga - Group II

Jarocin vs Gedania Gdansk

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalewski B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 10 / 100

Jarocin 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gedania Gdansk Jarocin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Gedania Gdansk found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Gedania Gdansk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ol. Grudziadz	34	23	7	4	73:18	76
2	Pogon Szczecin II	34	20	9	5	69:25	69
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	4	10	75:54	64
4	Zawisza	34	19	5	10	69:45	62
5	Gedania Gdansk	34	19	4	11	63:59	61
6	Starogard Gdanski	34	17	8	9	44:35	59
7	Swit Szczecin	34	16	7	11	61:41	55
8	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	16	6	12	51:46	54
9	Kleczew	34	14	5	15	53:48	47
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	11	11	12	37:42	44
11	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	10	13	37:40	43
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	10	12	12	46:45	42
13	Stolem Gniewino	34	9	9	16	33:52	36
14	Vineta Wolin	34	8	11	15	47:66	35
15	Unia Solec Kujawski	34	9	8	17	40:59	35
16	Jarocin	34	9	6	19	41:69	33
17	B. Gdynia	34	8	4	22	43:70	28
18	Unia Janikowo	34	2	4	28	17:85	10
19	Przodkowo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0