Sport Picks
Gedania Gdansk vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kasperowicz K.
8'
8'
Strawa A.
44'
44'
Bielawski A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Gedania Gdansk and Kotwica Kornik finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gedania Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gedania Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Kotwica Kornik have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Gedania Gdansk are scoring more at 1.79.
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Gedania Gdansk have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gedania Gdansk | Kotwica Kornik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Kotwica Kornik
6:1
Mar 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Kotwica Kornik
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Gedania Gdansk
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gedania Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Niewiadomski M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kasperowicz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Kotwica Kornik Compare
Top Goalscorer Strawa A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gedania Gdansk 34 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gedania Gdansk Kotwica Kornik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kotwica Kornik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kotwica Kornik has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Gedania Gdansk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Gedania Gdansk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gedania Gdansk VS Kotwica Kornik
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gedania Gdansk
(Home) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4 Luzino
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 1 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 3
Kotwica Kornik
(Away) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4 Kotwica Kornik
22 Aug
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
