Sport Picks
Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
6'
6'
Tokar F.
9'
9'
Szymczak W.
14'
14'
Manuszewski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Gedania Gdansk and Lech Poznan II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan II come out ahead of Gedania Gdansk on wins alone.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Gedania Gdansk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lech Poznan II have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gedania Gdansk | Lech Poznan II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznan II
2:3
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznan II
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Gedania Gdansk
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gedania Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Manuszewski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chetnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Lech Poznan II Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymczak W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Tokar F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gedania Gdansk 47 / 100
Lech Poznan II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gedania Gdansk Lech Poznan II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Gedania Gdansk's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gedania Gdansk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gedania Gdansk VS Lech Poznan II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gedania Gdansk
(Home) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4 Luzino
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 1 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 4
Lech Poznan II
(Away) 10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 2 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
