Sport Picks
Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
10'
10'
Dowgiallo S.
18'
18'
Kot P.
41'
41'
Sliwowski O.
AI Match Summary
Gedania Gdansk in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gedania Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gedania Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Gedania Gdansk haven't matched Notec Czarnkow's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Gedania Gdansk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gedania Gdansk | Notec Czarnkow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow
5:3
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Gedania Gdansk
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow
1:5
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Gedania Gdansk
1:2
Aug 23, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gedania Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Dowgiallo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sliwowski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kot P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaczmarek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gedania Gdansk 56 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gedania Gdansk Notec Czarnkow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Gedania Gdansk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Notec Czarnkow conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Gedania Gdansk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gedania Gdansk VS Notec Czarnkow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gedania Gdansk
(Home) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4 Luzino
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 1 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 3
Notec Czarnkow
(Away) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
19 Aug
KKS Kalisz
0 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
