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Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Solec Kujawski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
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Match Events

40' Event
Rakowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Gedania Gdansk and Unia Solec Kujawski finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Solec Kujawski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gedania Gdansk
28%
Draws
22%
Unia Solec Kujawski
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gedania Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gedania Gdansk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Gedania Gdansk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gedania Gdansk have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 18%
Unia Solec Kujawski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Unia Solec Kujawski
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Solec Kujawski
0:1
Sep 9, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Gedania Gdansk
3:6
Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Gedania Gdansk
0:1
Aug 20, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Solec Kujawski
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Unia Solec Kujawski Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 49 / 100
Unia Solec Kujawski 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Unia Solec Kujawski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Unia Solec Kujawski conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gedania Gdansk scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Unia Solec Kujawski lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
24 Jul
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 5
Czarni Pruszcz Gdansk
18 Jul
Gedania Gdansk
3 : 1
Jaguar Gdansk
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
31 Jan
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jun
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 5
Lech Poznan II
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Unia Solec Kujawski

(Away)
01 Feb
Chojniczanka II
2 : 0
Unia Solec Kujawski
29 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
1 : 8
Chojniczanka
08 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
0 : 3
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Unia Solec Kujawski
1 : 1
Pogon Szczecin II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)