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Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
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Match Events

64' Event
Zaborniak D.
70' Event
Zaborniak D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 game between Gedania Gdansk and Unia Swarzedz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gedania Gdansk
17%
Draws
70%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Unia Swarzedz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 18%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzedz
0:2
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gedania Gdansk
5:0
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
Sep 22, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gedania Gdansk
3:4
Apr 29, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzedz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaborniak D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 15 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Unia Swarzedz conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gedania Gdansk scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Gedania Gdansk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS Unia Swarzedz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
18 Jul
Gedania Gdansk
3 : 1
Jaguar Gdansk
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
31 Jan
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jun
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 5
Lech Poznan II
01 Jun
Swinoujscie
3 : 4
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
22 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
4 : 2
Pogon Mogilno
17 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 7
Kleczew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Lipno Steszew
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)