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Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Wrzesnia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gedania Gdansk
35%
Draws
30%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Victoria Wrzesnia lately — more wins on the board than Gedania Gdansk.
  • Win probability leans Gedania Gdansk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 13%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Wrzesnia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 48 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Victoria Wrzesnia has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gedania Gdansk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS Victoria Wrzesnia
2 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)