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Geelong vs North Geelong Warriors

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geelong in this NPL Victoria 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Geelong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Geelong
33%
Draws
27%
North Geelong Warriors
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Geelong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • North Geelong Warriors have won more games recently than Geelong.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Geelong taking it.
  • Regular NPL Victoria 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Geelong Clean Sheet 15%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geelong North Geelong Warriors
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Geelong vs North Geelong Warriors
1:0
Mar 16, 2019 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Geelong
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geelong 39 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geelong North Geelong Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Geelong scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

North Geelong Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Geelong remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS North Geelong Warriors
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eastern Lions28176554:3257
2Bulleen28165755:3953
3Northcote City281521146:4047
4Langwarrin28118944:3741
5Manningham United Blues281251148:4441
6Goulburn Valley Suns281061255:5236
7Melbourne City U2128951458:6532
8Murray United FC281041450:6431
9Box Hill284101431:4922
10Springvale28471726:7019
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Albans28174758:3055
2Brunswick Juventus28158550:3053
3Werribee City28146851:3248
4Moreland City28138757:4244
5North Geelong Warriors281351042:3544
6Brunswick City281171050:4440
7Geelong281061239:4336
8Whittlesea Rangers281061236:4936
9Melbourne Victory U2128671536:4825
10Ballarat City28352035:7614