Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2013

Kaisar Kyzylorda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gefest Karagandy play Kaisar Kyzylorda in the First Division 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gefest Karagandy averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2 conceded. Kaisar Kyzylorda averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Gefest Karagandy won 0, Kaisar Kyzylorda won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 28, 2013 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Gefest Karagandy and 0.93 for Kaisar Kyzylorda. This points to a Kaisar Kyzylorda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Gefest Karagandy

27%

Draws

46%

Kaisar Kyzylorda

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Kaisar Kyzylorda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Gefest Karagandy picked up more points recently compared to Kaisar Kyzylorda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 24%

Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gefest Karagandy	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	7	6
Draws	3	14
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	0.73	0.89
Goals Conceded	2	1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2013 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

0:6

Apr 26, 2013 First League

Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Oct 6, 2010 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

May 20, 2010 First League

Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefest Karagandy 29 / 100

Kaisar Kyzylorda 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gefest Karagandy Kaisar Kyzylorda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kaisar Kyzylorda or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gefest Karagandy attacking → ← attacking Kaisar Kyzylorda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Gefest Karagandy went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 32

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	23	8	3	77:20	74
2	Spartak Semey	34	21	7	6	54:24	70
3	Okzhetpes	34	20	7	7	51:27	67
4	Kyzylzhar	34	20	5	9	52:35	65
5	Kaspij Aktau	34	19	8	7	55:31	65
6	Ile-Saulet	34	19	8	7	66:32	65
7	Zhenis	34	15	13	6	51:37	58
8	FK Kyran	34	16	7	11	53:39	55
9	Sunkar	34	16	9	9	48:33	48
10	Ak Bulak	34	14	6	14	49:39	48
11	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	8	14	37:46	44
12	FC Ekibastuz	34	9	13	12	34:36	40
13	Shakhtar Bulat	34	7	9	18	28:42	30
14	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	5	9	20	28:57	24
15	Bayterek Astana	34	8	5	21	32:67	23
16	Maqtaaral	34	5	7	22	29:62	22
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	4	25	29:79	19
18	Shymkent	34	2	7	25	27:94	13