Sport Picks
Gefest Karagandy vs Shakhtar Bulat Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
First Division 2013 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Shakhtar Bulat have won more games recently than Gefest Karagandy.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar Bulat taking it.
- Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 19%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gefest Karagandy | Shakhtar Bulat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Shakhtar Bulat
0:3
Jul 5, 2014 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Gefest Karagandy
1:2
Sep 8, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Shakhtar Bulat
1:1
May 22, 2013 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Gefest Karagandy
1:0
Apr 13, 2011 Kazakhstan Cup
Shakhtar Bulat vs Gefest Karagandy
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gefest Karagandy Shakhtar Bulat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhtar Bulat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shakhtar Bulat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Shakhtar Bulat's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Gefest Karagandy's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Shakhtar Bulat
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gefest Karagandy
(Home) 08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar
14 Sept
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Zhenis
Page 1 of 3
Shakhtar Bulat
(Away) 05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1 Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 7
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
17 Sept
FK Kyran
1 : 1 Shakhtar Bulat
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
3 : 4 Shakhtar Bulat
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 77:20 | 74 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Kyzylzhar | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:35 | 65 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 55:31 | 65 |
| 6 | Ile-Saulet | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 66:32 | 65 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51:37 | 58 |
| 8 | FK Kyran | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 53:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Sunkar | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Ak Bulak | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:39 | 48 |
| 11 | Gefest Karagandy | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 37:46 | 44 |
| 12 | FC Ekibastuz | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:36 | 40 |
| 13 | Shakhtar Bulat | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:42 | 30 |
| 14 | Taraz-Karatau 2 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 28:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Bayterek Astana | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 32:67 | 23 |
| 16 | Maqtaaral | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:62 | 22 |
| 17 | CSKA Almaty | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:79 | 19 |
| 18 | Shymkent | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27:94 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)
