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Gefle vs Falu BS

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2025 Gavlevallen
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Hansemon T.
46'
Sub
Mokede M. In: Zahirovic A.
Out: Mokede M.
56'
Sub
Forslund H. In: Abdelrahman A.
Out: Forslund H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra 2025 game between Gefle and Falu BS finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gefle
6%
Draws
90%
Falu BS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falu BS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Falu BS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Falu BS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gefle Clean Sheet 14%
Falu BS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Falu BS
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Falu BS vs Gefle
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Falu BS
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Falu BS
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Falu BS vs Gefle
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansemon T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berggren M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Falu BS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 10 / 100
Falu BS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Falu BS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Falu BS let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Gefle went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Falu BS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Gefle3
Falu BS0
Oskarshamn4
Tvaaker5