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Gefle vs FBK Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gefle host FBK Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FBK Karlstad have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Gefle have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Gefle have won 0 to FBK Karlstad's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.50) point toward FBK Karlstad. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gefle
35%
Draws
39%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gefle Clean Sheet 16%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Gefle
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 31 / 100
FBK Karlstad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gefle found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Gefle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS FBK Karlstad
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
11 Oct
Assyriska FF
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 26 13 6 7 51:26 45
5 Enkopings SK 26 14 3 9 39:40 45
6 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
7 FBK Karlstad 26 12 7 7 41:36 43
8 Assyriska FF 26 10 5 11 44:45 35
9 Umea FC 26 10 5 11 36:42 35
10 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
11 Gefle 26 9 4 13 32:46 31
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 26 5 8 13 33:49 23
15 FC Jarfalla 26 5 4 17 34:57 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)