Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gefle vs FC Arlanda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Zahirovic A.
40'
Saeed A.
57'
Sub
Saeed A. In: Rehman S.
Out: Saeed A.

AI Match Summary

FC Arlanda in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gefle
15%
Draws
57%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gefle haven't matched FC Arlanda's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gefle Clean Sheet 13%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle FC Arlanda
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.39 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs FC Arlanda
0:2
Jun 1, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Gefle
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Gefle
2:0
Jun 2, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs FC Arlanda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Giordano Eriksson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charbachi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 31 / 100
FC Arlanda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Arlanda conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Gefle found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Gefle has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS FC Arlanda
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 7

FC Arlanda

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)