Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gefle vs IFK Stocksund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rauf Y.
24'
Rauf Y.
37'
Sub
Tesfai E. In: Badome S.
Out: Tesfai E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Gefle and IFK Stocksund finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Gefle
15%
Draws
26%
IFK Stocksund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gefle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gefle a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gefle Clean Sheet 14%
IFK Stocksund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle IFK Stocksund
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.19 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
IFK Stocksund vs Gefle
5:0
Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs IFK Stocksund
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
IFK Stocksund vs Gefle
2:2
May 4, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs IFK Stocksund
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Berggren M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vikgren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

IFK Stocksund Compare

Top Goalscorer Rauf Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 48 / 100
IFK Stocksund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle IFK Stocksund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Stocksund conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Gefle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

IFK Stocksund's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS IFK Stocksund
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

IFK Stocksund

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
5 : 2
IFK Stocksund
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
5 Karlstad 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
6 FBK Karlstad 22 11 5 6 36:32 38
7 Enkopings SK 22 12 2 8 35:36 38
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 22 5 8 9 21:31 23
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)