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Gefle vs Karlbergs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gefle host Karlbergs in the Division 1 - Norra. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Gefle at 1.21 goals for, 1.59 against; Karlbergs at 1.45 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Gefle have won 1 to Karlbergs's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.13, favoring Karlbergs. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gefle
35%
Draws
32%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Gefle haven't matched Karlbergs's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gefle Clean Sheet 20%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Karlbergs
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 31 / 100
Karlbergs 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Karlbergs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Gefle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gefle scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Karlbergs
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
01 Nov
Hammarby TFF
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 1
Gefle
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
01 Nov
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
25 Oct
Karlbergs
1 : 1
Umea FC
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)