Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gefle vs Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Kouyate M.
43' Event
Spangberg M.
45'
Hook I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gefle
20%
Draws
23%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gefle haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gefle's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gefle Clean Sheet 68%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Karlstad
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Gefle
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Gefle
2:2
Sep 25, 2022 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Spangberg M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vikgren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Djerlek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 50 / 100
Karlstad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gefle found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Karlstad has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Gefle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Karlstad
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
15 Aug
Gefle
2 : 0
Umea FC
08 Aug
IFK Stocksund
5 : 0
Gefle
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad

(Away)
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
22 Aug
Sollentuna
2 : 1
Karlstad
18 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2
Sandviken
15 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
08 Aug
FC Jarfalla
1 : 4
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 20 13 3 4 44:17 42
2 Hammarby TFF 20 11 5 4 45:18 38
3 Karlstad 20 11 4 5 32:19 37
4 AFC Eskilstuna 20 11 4 5 35:27 37
5 FC Arlanda 20 10 6 4 34:24 36
6 FBK Karlstad 20 10 4 6 34:31 34
7 Enkopings SK 20 10 2 8 30:33 32
8 Assyriska FF 20 8 5 7 34:32 29
9 Karlbergs 20 7 4 9 28:31 25
10 Gefle 20 7 3 10 25:38 24
11 Umea FC 20 6 5 9 26:33 23
12 Sollentuna 20 5 8 7 19:27 23
13 Vasalund 20 6 5 9 32:41 23
14 Pitea 20 3 6 11 24:40 15
15 FC Jarfalla 20 4 3 13 23:44 15
16 IFK Stocksund 20 2 5 13 39:49 11
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)