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Gefle vs Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Gefle Logo

Gefle

2 - 2
FT
Karlstad Logo

Karlstad

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Kouyate M.
43' Event
Spangberg M.
45'
Hook I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gefle
30%
Draws
23%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Karlstad at 1.55 per game, Gefle at 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Gefle's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gefle Clean Sheet 68%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Karlstad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Gefle
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Gefle
2:2
Sep 25, 2022 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlstad
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Spangberg M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vikgren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Djerlek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 68 / 100
Karlstad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Karlstad conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Gefle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Karlstad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Karlstad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
01 Nov
Hammarby TFF
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 1
Gefle
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
18 Oct
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
Karlstad
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)