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Gefle vs Sundsvall

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sulaiman K.
36' Event
Wikgren L.
41' Event
Sulaiman K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gefle and Sundsvall finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundsvall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gefle
15%
Draws
39%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gefle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Gefle taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sundsvall have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gefle Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Sundsvall
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Sundsvall
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sundsvall vs Gefle
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Gefle
3:0
May 17, 2024 Superettan
Gefle vs Sundsvall
1:0
Feb 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Sundsvall vs Gefle
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Wikgren L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulaiman K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 76 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gefle found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Gefle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Sundsvall
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
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Sundsvall

(Away)
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
25 Aug
Oster
1 : 0
Sundsvall
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