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Gefle vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gefle host Vasalund in the Division 1 - Norra. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Gefle have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Vasalund's 1.45 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Vasalund slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.63) point toward Gefle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gefle
20%
Draws
29%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gefle lately — more wins on the board than Vasalund.
  • Model gives Gefle a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasalund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gefle Clean Sheet 14%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Vasalund
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Vasalund
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasalund
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasalund
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 48 / 100
Vasalund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Gefle scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Vasalund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Gefle has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Vasalund
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
Page 1 of 7

Vasalund

(Away)
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2
Vasalund
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
5 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
9 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)