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Gefle vs Vasalund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Torppa E. In: Lukic F.
Out: Torppa E.
47' Event
Bajrovic M.
Assist: Nikolic M.
53'
Lundstrom J.

AI Match Summary

Vasalund in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasalund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gefle
30%
Draws
23%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gefle lately — more wins on the board than Vasalund.
  • Model gives Gefle a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasalund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gefle Clean Sheet 20%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Vasalund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Vasalund
0:1
May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Vasalund
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasalund
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajrovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 85 / 100
Vasalund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Gefle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vasalund registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Vasalund
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
01 Nov
Hammarby TFF
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 1
Gefle
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Sollentuna
2 : 0
Vasalund
18 Oct
Vasalund
0 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)