Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024

Azam

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geita Gold play Azam in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Azam averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Geita Gold won 0, Azam won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 28, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Geita Gold and 1.38 for Azam. This points to a Azam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Geita Gold

35%

Draws

49%

Azam

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Geita Gold picked up more points recently compared to Azam.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 17%

Azam Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Geita Gold	Azam
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	5	27
Draws	9	9
Losses	16	4
Goals Scored	0.63	1.6
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Azam

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Feb 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Geita Gold

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Dec 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Azam

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Aug 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Geita Gold

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Apr 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Azam

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes Mendoza Y. D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salum F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 18 / 100

Azam 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Geita Gold Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Azam or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geita Gold attacking → ← attacking Azam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geita Gold scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Azam let in goals in 28% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Azam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 90

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	26	2	2	71:14	80
2	Azam	30	21	6	3	63:21	69
3	Simba	30	21	6	3	59:25	69
4	Coastal Union	30	11	10	9	22:19	43
5	Kinondoni MC	30	8	13	9	27:39	37
6	Namungo	30	8	12	10	27:29	36
7	Singida Black Stars	30	9	9	12	29:36	36
8	Mashujaa	30	9	8	13	30:33	35
9	Tanzania Prisons	30	7	13	10	29:35	34
10	Kagera Sugar	30	7	13	10	23:32	34
11	Fountain Gate	30	8	9	13	29:39	33
12	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	9	13	19:32	33
13	JKT Tanzania	30	6	14	10	21:30	32
14	TRA United	30	5	12	13	20:41	27
15	Geita Gold	30	5	10	15	18:38	25
16	Mtibwa Sugar	30	5	6	19	30:54	21