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G.E.L. U20 vs Desportiva Ferroviaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Capixaba U20 2025 game between G.E.L. U20 and Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward G.E.L. U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
G.E.L. U20
6%
Draws
90%
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 come out ahead of G.E.L. U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
G.E.L. U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric G.E.L. U20 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 17 23
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 3 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Capixaba U20
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 vs G.E.L. U20
5:1
May 10, 2025 Capixaba U20
G.E.L. U20 vs Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
2:5
Apr 5, 2025 Capixaba U20
G.E.L. U20 vs Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Capixaba U20
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 vs G.E.L. U20
2:0
Mar 15, 2024 Capixaba U20
G.E.L. U20 vs Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

G.E.L. U20 10 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
G.E.L. U20 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

G.E.L. U20 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Desportiva Ferroviaria U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 23 matches.

Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

G.E.L. U20 VS Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco ES U20962133:1120
2Porto Vitoria U20961230:1119
3Serra U20961218:919
4Desportiva Ferroviaria U20951315:816
5G.E.L. U20941424:2013
6Forte U20933315:1412
7Vitoria ES U20932416:2011
8Vilavelhense U20931520:1910
9Sport-ES U20913516:236
10Linhares Futebol Clube U2090186:581