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GEL vs Audax Sao Mateus

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
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AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between GEL and Audax Sao Mateus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Audax Sao Mateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
GEL
15%
Draws
40%
Audax Sao Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Audax Sao Mateus come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Audax Sao Mateus taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
GEL Clean Sheet 28%
Audax Sao Mateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GEL Audax Sao Mateus
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Capixaba 2
GEL vs Audax Sao Mateus
0:1
Aug 1, 2026 Capixaba 2
Audax Sao Mateus vs GEL
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GEL 17 / 100
Audax Sao Mateus 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GEL Audax Sao Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audax Sao Mateus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: GEL remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: GEL scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Audax Sao Mateus let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

GEL VS Audax Sao Mateus
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GEL

(Home)
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
Page 1 of 6

Audax Sao Mateus

(Away)
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
22 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
4 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
18 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 5
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)