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Gelbison vs Budoni Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
De Martino G.
36' Event
Schirru G.
67' Event
Kosovan T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gelbison in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gelbison
30%
Draws
39%
Budoni Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Budoni Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gelbison lately — more wins on the board than Budoni Calcio.
  • Model gives Budoni Calcio a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 22%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelbison Budoni Calcio
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Budoni Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer De Martino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Budoni Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Schirru G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelbison 24 / 100
Budoni Calcio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelbison Budoni Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Budoni Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelbison scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Budoni Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Gelbison stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gelbison VS Budoni Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gelbison

(Home)
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
Page 1 of 7

Budoni Calcio

(Away)
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ossese 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Paganese 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Sarnese 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Trastevere Calcio 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
6 Monastir 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
7 Albalonga 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
8 Aranova 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Unipomezia 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
11 Gelbison 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Afragolese 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
13 Sarrabus Ogliastra 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Budoni Calcio 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 US Venafro 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
16 Latte Dolce 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
17 Atl. Lodigiani 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
18 Citta di Anagni 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)