Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Burzio P.
77'
77'
Croce A.
85'
85'
Setola C.
AI Match Summary
Gelbison in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gelbison lately — more wins on the board than Matera.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Gelbison have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gelbison, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 26%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gelbison | Matera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Gelbison vs Matera
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Matera
2:2
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Gelbison
1:0
Mar 9, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Matera
1:1
Oct 27, 2013 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Gelbison
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gelbison Compare
Top Goalscorer Croce A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Setola C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Matera Compare
Top Goalscorer Burzio P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gelbison 33 / 100
Matera 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gelbison Matera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gelbison found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Matera let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Gelbison remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gelbison VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gelbison
(Home) 27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0 Gela
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
02 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 Athletic Palermo
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Matera
(Away) 04 May
Matera
2 : 2 Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1 Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2 Matera
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27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2 Matera
23 Mar
Citta di Fasano
6 : 1 Matera
02 Mar
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Matera
16 Feb
Casarano
5 : 0 Matera
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Imperia Calcio 0
Vado 1
Saluzzo 3
Chisola 0
Lavagnese 3
Bra 1
Brusaporto 1
Sangiuliano City 2
Club Milano 2
NovaRomentin 0
Sant'Angelo 3
Varese FC 0
Oltrepo 0
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Real Calepina 0
Vigasio 0
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Campodarsego 1
Adriese 2
Mestre 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Lentigione 2
Ravenna 3
Fossombrone 1
Sambenedettese 1
Vigor Senigallia 2
Castelfidardo 4
Civitanovese Calcio 1
Livorno 3
Ghiviborgo 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
San Donato Tavarnelle 1
Figline 1
Sangiovannese 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Sporting Trestina 0
Atl. Lodigiani 0
Roma City 3
Aquila Calcio 1
Termoli 0
Ostiamare 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2
Guidonia 1937 1
Cassino 0
Paganese 1
Scafatese 2
Nocerina 1
Ischia 2
Virtus Francavilla 0
Martina Calcio 1
Fidelis Andria 2
Casarano 3
Gelbison 2
Matera 1
Reggina 2
AS Acireale 1
Akragas 0
Enna 2
Siracusa 3
Paterno 0
1/16-finals
Vado 0
Saluzzo 1
Lavagnese 2
Sangiuliano City 1
Club Milano 1
Sant'Angelo 2
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 4
Adriese 3
Lentigione 0
Ravenna 1
Vigor Senigallia 1
Castelfidardo 2
Livorno 3
Seravezza Pozzi 0
Sangiovannese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Roma City 0
Aquila Calcio 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Guidonia 1937 2
Scafatese 6
Ischia 0
Martina Calcio 1
Casarano 0
Gelbison 1
Reggina 3
Enna 3
Siracusa 2
1/8-finals
Saluzzo 0
Lavagnese 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Piacenza 3
Cjarlins Muzane 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Ravenna 2
Castelfidardo 1
Livorno 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Aquila Calcio 0
Guidonia 1937 4
Scafatese 0
Martina Calcio 1
Reggina 1
Enna 2
Quarter-finals
Lavagnese 2
Piacenza 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Ravenna 3
Livorno 2
Guidonia 1937 3
Martina Calcio 1
Enna 0
Semi-finals
Lavagnese 1
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 5
Martina Calcio 0
Final
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 2
