Sport Picks

Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2023/2024

Spisska Nova Ves

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gelnica play Spisska Nova Ves in the Slovak Cup 2023/2024. Spisska Nova Ves are favorites here. Recently, Gelnica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Spisska Nova Ves averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Gelnica won 0, Spisska Nova Ves won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Gelnica and 1.43 for Spisska Nova Ves. This points to a Spisska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Gelnica

15%

Draws

57%

Spisska Nova Ves

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spisska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Gelnica picked up more points recently compared to Spisska Nova Ves.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Gelnica Clean Sheet 17%

Spisska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gelnica	Spisska Nova Ves
Matches Played	12	32
Wins	5	22
Draws	0	5
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	1	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2023 Slovak Cup

Gelnica vs Spisska Nova Ves

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelnica 29 / 100

Spisska Nova Ves 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gelnica Spisska Nova Ves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spisska Nova Ves Win (2)

Secondary Pick Spisska Nova Ves & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gelnica attacking → ← attacking Spisska Nova Ves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelnica scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Spisska Nova Ves let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gelnica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spisska Nova Ves lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 71

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50