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Gemert vs Achilles Veen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemert host Achilles Veen in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Gemert at 1.97 goals for, 1.67 against; Achilles Veen at 1.5 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, Gemert have won 0 to Achilles Veen's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2020, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.19, favoring Achilles Veen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gemert
15%
Draws
0%
Achilles Veen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gemert have won more games recently than Achilles Veen.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gemert taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gemert Clean Sheet 20%
Achilles Veen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert Achilles Veen
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2020 KNVB Beker
Achilles Veen vs Gemert
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 85 / 100
Achilles Veen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert Achilles Veen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Away concern: Achilles Veen has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Achilles Veen conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS Achilles Veen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 7

Achilles Veen

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Achilles Veen
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1
TOGB
22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0
Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)