Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemert vs FC OSS '20

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Herman E.
27' Event
Kemper R.
43' Event
Kemper R.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between Gemert and FC OSS '20 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gemert
20%
Draws
22%
FC OSS '20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gemert taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gemert Clean Sheet 19%
FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert FC OSS '20
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.31 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs FC OSS '20
5:1
Nov 26, 2023 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Gemert
2:2
Dec 11, 2022 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs FC OSS '20
1:3
Aug 21, 2022 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Gemert
1:2
May 8, 2022 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Gemert
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemert Compare

Top Goalscorer Herman E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kemper R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

FC OSS '20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haouat H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 85 / 100
FC OSS '20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert FC OSS '20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (42 games).

Defensive concern: FC OSS '20 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gemert remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 9

FC OSS '20

(Away)
25 May
GVV Unitas
1 : 3
FC OSS '20
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
11 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
FC OSS '20
05 May
Gemert
5 : 1
FC OSS '20
21 Apr
FC OSS '20
1 : 5
OJC Rosmalen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)