Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lisse in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lisse lately — more wins on the board than Gemert.
- Gemert are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gemert Clean Sheet 15%
Lisse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gemert | Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Lisse
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Lisse
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Gemert
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Lisse
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Gemert
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gemert 41 / 100
Lisse 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gemert Lisse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gemert scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Gemert stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Lisse conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Gemert VS Lisse
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gemert
(Home) 04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 UNA
23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2 GOES
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 4
Lisse
(Away) 04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1 Lisse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
