Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemert vs UNA

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Gemert and UNA finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gemert
35%
Draws
25%
UNA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gemert are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Gemert Clean Sheet 13%
UNA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert UNA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Gemert
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Gemert
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 35 / 100
UNA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert UNA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

UNA has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gemert stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS UNA
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 6

UNA

(Away)
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 5 5 0 0 14:3 15
2 ACV Assen 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
3 Harkemase Boys 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
4 VV Scherpenzeel 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
5 Excelsior 31 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Sportlust 5 2 3 0 12:9 9
7 Purmersteijn 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 TEC 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 VV Hoogeveen 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
11 Sparta Nijkerk 5 1 2 2 13:14 5
12 VV DOVO 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
13 Staphorst 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
14 Eemdijk 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
15 USV Hercules 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
17 HVV Hollandia 5 0 1 4 12:18 1
18 SVZW Wierden 5 0 1 4 8:18 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 5 5 0 0 11:4 15
2 VV Noordwijk 5 4 1 0 9:0 13
3 Rijnvogels 5 3 2 0 15:6 11
4 RKSV UDI 19 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 SV Poortugaal 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Dongen 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
7 Excelsior Maassluis 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 GOES 5 2 2 1 11:12 8
9 Roosendaal 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
10 Gemert 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 UNA 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Blauw Geel 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Groene Ster 5 1 2 2 9:12 5
14 VVSB 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
15 VV Zwaluwen 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
16 Achilles Veen 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
17 TOGB 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
18 EVV 5 0 0 5 6:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)