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Gemlikspor vs Ayvalikgucu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemlikspor host Ayvalikgucu in the 3. Lig Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Gemlikspor at 1.29 goals for, 1.07 against; Ayvalikgucu at 1.91 for, 0.88 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring Ayvalikgucu. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gemlikspor
20%
Draws
35%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Gemlikspor on wins alone.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 40 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemlikspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gemlikspor scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Ayvalikgucu let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Ayvalikgucu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Ayvalikgucu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
11 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 6

Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
11 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
07 Oct
Soke 1970
1 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
03 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 1
Soke 1970
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Bursa Yildirimspor 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
3 Etimesgut 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
4 Ayvalikgucu 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
5 Balikesirspor 6 4 0 2 17:13 12
6 Eskisehirspor 6 3 2 1 17:7 11
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
8 Bigaspor 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
9 Altay 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Karsiyaka 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
12 Soke 1970 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
15 Aksehirspor 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
16 Kepez Bld. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
18 Alanya 1221 6 0 1 5 1:14 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)