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Gemlikspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gemlikspor
30%
Draws
32%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bursa Yildirimspor at 1.38 per game, Gemlikspor at 1.29.
  • Model gives Gemlikspor a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Gemlikspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Gemlikspor
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 50 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Bursa Yildirimspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemlikspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gemlikspor found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Bursa Yildirimspor let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Bursa Yildirimspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
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Bursa Yildirimspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0
Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)