Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Kumas T.
86' Event
Genc M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Gemlikspor
20%
Draws
19%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Gemlikspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gemlikspor a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Gemlikspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gemlikspor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Turkish Cup
Gemlikspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumas T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Genc M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 85 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gemlikspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gemlikspor found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Away)
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
27 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Aksehirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
13 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2 : 2
Eskisehirspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gemlikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
TBD -
Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Golcukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Adana Adaletgucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
TBD -
TBD -
Silifke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malatya -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
Karsiyaka -
52 Orduspor -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
Malatya -
Eskisehir Anadolu -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -