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Genclerbirligi vs Bodrumspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Eryaman Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Genclerbirligi play Bodrumspor in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Genclerbirligi averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Bodrumspor averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Genclerbirligi won 3, Bodrumspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 18, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Genclerbirligi and 1.13 for Bodrumspor. This points to a Genclerbirligi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Genclerbirligi
16%
Draws
40%
Bodrumspor
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Genclerbirligi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Genclerbirligi picked up more points recently compared to Bodrumspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 21%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genclerbirligi Bodrumspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 Turkish Cup
Genclerbirligi vs Bodrumspor
3:2
Jan 28, 2024 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Genclerbirligi
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Bodrumspor
1:0
Apr 28, 2023 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Bodrumspor
2:1
Dec 3, 2022 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Genclerbirligi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genclerbirligi Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Onur S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bodrumspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Turk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Habesoglu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genclerbirligi 44 / 100
Bodrumspor 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genclerbirligi Bodrumspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Genclerbirligi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Genclerbirligi attacking → ← attacking Bodrumspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genclerbirligi scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Bodrumspor let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Genclerbirligi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bodrumspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133