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Gendarmerie vs Nurie Transit Prediction & H2H Stats

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Fri, May 9, 2025
2 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gendarmerie host Nurie Transit in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Gendarmerie at 1.44 goals for, 1.06 against; Nurie Transit at 0.73 for, 2.3 against. Head-to-head, Gendarmerie have won 2 to Nurie Transit's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 9, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.25) back Gendarmerie to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gendarmerie
20%
Draws
0%
Nurie Transit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gendarmerie come out ahead of Nurie Transit on wins alone.
  • Gendarmerie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 19%
Nurie Transit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie Nurie Transit
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.44 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Nurie Transit
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Division 1
Nurie Transit vs Gendarmerie
2:2
Apr 15, 2023 Division 1
Nurie Transit vs Gendarmerie
0:0
Dec 24, 2022 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Nurie Transit
1:1
Apr 22, 2021 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Nurie Transit
9:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 85 / 100
Nurie Transit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie Nurie Transit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendarmerie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nurie Transit conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nurie Transit has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gendarmerie scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendarmerie VS Nurie Transit
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendarmerie

(Home)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 7

Nurie Transit

(Away)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
01 May
Nurie Transit
0 : 3
Dikhil
27 Apr
Nurie Transit
0 : 2
ASAS
17 Apr
Port
1 : 0
Nurie Transit
13 Apr
Hopital
3 : 1
Nurie Transit
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
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