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Gendrim vs Douane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Gendrim Logo

Gendrim

0 - 1
FT
Douane Logo

Douane

Our Tip

Match Events

66'
90' Event
Yatma A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Gendrim and Douane finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gendrim
35%
Draws
18%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gendrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douane come out ahead of Gendrim on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gendrim a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Douane here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 68%
Douane Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendrim Douane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Douane
0:1
May 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
3:0
Jan 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Douane
1:3
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gendrim Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendrim 68 / 100
Douane 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendrim Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendrim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendrim scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Douane has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gendrim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gendrim VS Douane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendrim

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Douane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)