Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gendrim vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gueye I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Gendrim and Kaedi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gendrim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gendrim
30%
Draws
33%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gendrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gendrim come out ahead of Kaedi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gendrim's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 20%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendrim Kaedi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Kaedi
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Gendrim
0:0
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Gendrim
3:4
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Kaedi
1:1
Mar 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Gendrim
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gendrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kaedi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendrim 49 / 100
Kaedi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendrim Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendrim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendrim found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Kaedi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gendrim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gendrim VS Kaedi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendrim

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)