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Gendrim vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Gendrim Logo

Gendrim

1 - 4
FT
Ksar Logo

Ksar

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Barck M.
59' Event
Ghanem M.
78' Event
Dieng C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ksar in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gendrim
20%
Draws
22%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gendrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gendrim lately — more wins on the board than Ksar.
  • Gendrim are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 68%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendrim Ksar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
1:4
Dec 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Gendrim
0:1
May 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Gendrim
2:1
Jan 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gendrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendrim 77 / 100
Ksar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendrim Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksar has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Gendrim found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Gendrim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendrim VS Ksar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendrim

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)