Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Grevink N.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Genemuiden and Ajax (Am) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ajax (Am) haven't matched Genemuiden's recent run of results.
- Genemuiden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 16%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Genemuiden | Ajax (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 22 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Ajax (Am)
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Genemuiden
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Genemuiden Compare
Top Goalscorer Grevink N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Ajax (Am) Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Genemuiden 84 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Genemuiden Ajax (Am)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Genemuiden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).
Ajax (Am)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Away concern: Ajax (Am) has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Genemuiden VS Ajax (Am)
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Genemuiden
(Home) 22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0 Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0 SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2 Genemuiden
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0 SVZW Wierden
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1 Eemdijk
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1 Hardenberg
Page 1 of 4
Ajax (Am)
(Away) 02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4 Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1 Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 7
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
10 May
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 1 Ajax (Am)
19 Apr
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
