Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genemuiden vs Purmersteijn

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genemuiden host Purmersteijn in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Genemuiden at 1.9 goals for, 1.33 against; Purmersteijn at 1.46 for, 2.23 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.81, favoring Genemuiden. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Genemuiden
15%
Draws
39%
Purmersteijn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Genemuiden have won more games recently than Purmersteijn.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Genemuiden taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 11%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genemuiden Purmersteijn
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.9 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genemuiden 47 / 100
Purmersteijn 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genemuiden Purmersteijn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genemuiden found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Purmersteijn has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Genemuiden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Purmersteijn registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genemuiden VS Purmersteijn
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genemuiden

(Home)
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
Page 1 of 6

Purmersteijn

(Away)
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
02 Sept
Purmersteijn
4 : 3
RKVV Zwaluw
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Harkemase Boys 6 5 1 0 13:7 16
3 Genemuiden 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
4 VV Scherpenzeel 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
5 Excelsior 31 6 4 1 1 16:6 13
6 Sportlust 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
7 Purmersteijn 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
8 TEC 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
9 Sparta Nijkerk 6 2 2 2 17:14 8
10 VV Hoogeveen 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 DVS '33 Ermelo 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
13 VV DOVO 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
14 Staphorst 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
15 USV Hercules 6 1 0 5 8:20 3
16 Eemdijk 6 1 0 5 7:19 3
17 HVV Hollandia 6 0 1 5 13:20 1
18 SVZW Wierden 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
2 Lisse 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
3 Rijnvogels 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
4 Excelsior Maassluis 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
5 RKSV UDI 19 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 GOES 6 3 2 1 13:13 11
7 SV Poortugaal 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
8 Dongen 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Blauw Geel 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gemert 6 1 4 1 10:10 7
11 VVSB 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 VV Zwaluwen 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
13 UNA 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Groene Ster 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
15 Roosendaal 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
16 Achilles Veen 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
17 TOGB 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
18 EVV 6 0 1 5 7:16 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)