Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genesis FC vs Marathon

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Arriaga Chavez J. A.
39' Event
Sander R.
46'
Sub
Carcamo L. In: Mejia Y.
Out: Carcamo L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Genesis FC and Marathon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marathon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Genesis FC
30%
Draws
41%
Marathon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marathon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Genesis FC haven't matched Marathon's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Marathon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 20%
Marathon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC Marathon
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Marathon
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Marathon
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Genesis FC
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Marathon
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Genesis FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sander R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marathon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bueso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 32 / 100
Marathon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC Marathon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Genesis FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Marathon conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS Marathon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 7

Marathon

(Away)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)