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Genesis FC vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
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AI Match Summary

Olimpia in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Genesis FC
20%
Draws
56%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia lately — more wins on the board than Genesis FC.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olimpia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 13%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC Olimpia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 24
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Olimpia
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Olimpia
0:2
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Genesis FC
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Olimpia
6:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Genesis FC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 14 / 100
Olimpia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Genesis FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Olimpia let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Genesis FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS Olimpia
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
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Olimpia

(Away)
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)