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Stadium Background

Genk U19 vs Coleraine U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Cegeka Arena - Stadium B, Genk
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Smekens R.
Assist: Martens N.
15'
Stewart M.
17' Event
Claes T.
Assist: De Grand S.

AI Match Summary

Genk U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Genk U19
33%
Draws
26%
Coleraine U19
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Genk U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genk U19 lately — more wins on the board than Coleraine U19.
  • Genk U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Genk U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Genk U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Genk U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Coleraine U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk U19 Coleraine U19
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 16 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Genk U19 vs Coleraine U19
6:1
Oct 26, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Coleraine U19 vs Genk U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arabaci D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smekens R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Coleraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer McDowell B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk U19 85 / 100
Coleraine U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk U19 Coleraine U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine U19 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Genk U19 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Genk U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genk U19 VS Coleraine U19
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Genk U19
2 : 2
HJK U19
26 Nov
HJK U19
1 : 0
Genk U19
04 Nov
Genk U19
3 : 1
Vikingur U19
22 Oct
Vikingur U19
0 : 8
Genk U19
17 Dec
Genk U19
2 : 2
Puskas Akademia U19
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine U19

(Away)
02 Nov
Genk U19
6 : 1
Coleraine U19
26 Oct
Coleraine U19
0 : 4
Genk U19
05 Oct
Pobeda U19
2 : 2
Coleraine U19
28 Sept
Coleraine U19
3 : 2
Pobeda U19

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Shamrock U19 1
Omonia U19 1
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Molde U19 2
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 5
Pyunik Yerevan U19 0
Young Boys U19 5
Domzale U19 2
AIK U19 8
Racing Luxembourg U19 2
Genk U19 5
Slavia Prague U19 4
Coleraine U19 5
Pobeda U19 4
Slavia Sofia U19 2
Panathinaikos U19 10
Zalgiris U19 2
Trencin U19 5
FC Astana U19 2
Apolonia Fier U19 4
Hajduk Split U19 5
Gabala U19 1
Miercurea Ciuc U19 1
Galatasaray U19 5
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Zaglebie U19 0
SC Ashdod U19 5
Borac Banja Luka U19 0
MTK Budapest U19 4
Jelgava U19 0
Final
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 1
Young Boys U19 4
AIK U19 3
Genk U19 10
Coleraine U19 1
Panathinaikos U19 6
Trencin U19 3
Apolonia Fier U19 1
Hajduk Split U19 6
Galatasaray U19 2
Rukh Lviv U19 6
SC Ashdod U19 1
MTK Budapest U19 2