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Genk U23 vs Deinze

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2024/2025 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Fri, Mar 7, 2025
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genk U23 host Deinze in the Challenger Pro League 2024/2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Genk U23 at 2.13 goals for, 1.69 against; Deinze at 1.14 for, 1.64 against. Head-to-head, Genk U23 have won 1 to Deinze's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.23 - 1.25) back Genk U23 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Genk U23
20%
Draws
23%
Deinze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genk U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genk U23 lately — more wins on the board than Deinze.
  • Genk U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Genk U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Deinze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk U23 Deinze
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Deinze
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Genk U23
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Deinze
3:2
Oct 20, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Genk U23
3:2
May 6, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Deinze
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk U23 85 / 100
Deinze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk U23 Deinze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk U23 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Deinze has conceded goals in 64% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Genk U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk U23 VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk U23

(Home)
19 Sept
Genk U23
2 : 2
RFC Seraing
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 4
Genk U23
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0
Maastricht
Page 1 of 7

Deinze

(Away)
06 Dec
Deinze
0 : 1
RFC Seraing
30 Nov
RFC Liege
3 : 0
Deinze
23 Nov
Deinze
0 : 3
Francs Borains
09 Nov
Lommel SK
1 : 1
Deinze
03 Nov
Deinze
3 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waregem 28 18 5 5 55:30 59
2 RAAL La Louviere 28 17 8 3 50:24 59
3 RWDM Brussels 28 17 6 5 42:21 57
4 SK Beveren 28 14 9 5 41:27 51
5 Patro Eisden 28 13 10 5 51:28 49
6 Club Brugge U23 28 14 5 9 46:35 47
7 Sporting Lokeren 28 12 5 11 32:35 41
8 Lierse SK 28 11 7 10 40:35 40
9 RFC Liege 28 9 7 12 38:44 34
10 Eupen 28 8 6 14 38:47 30
11 Lommel SK 28 8 5 15 32:46 29
12 Francs Borains 28 8 4 16 29:50 28
13 Anderlecht U23 28 5 8 15 41:54 23
14 RFC Seraing 28 3 10 15 28:55 19
15 Genk U23 28 3 5 20 30:62 14
16 Deinze 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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