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Genk vs Gent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sonko M.
Assist: Araujo T.
22'
Sonko M.
32'
Vergara J.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Genk and Gent finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Genk
15%
Draws
26%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Genk haven't matched Gent's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Genk a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Genk Clean Sheet 68%
Gent Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Gent
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
1:1
May 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:1
May 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Durosinmi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 77 / 100
Gent 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Genk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gent's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Gent
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
31 Oct
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Genk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
17 Oct
Virton
0 : 2
Genk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

Gent

(Away)
05 Nov
KuPS
0 : 0
Gent
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Braga
2 : 0
Gent
18 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 3
Gent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)