Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genk vs Gent

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sonko M.
Assist: Araujo T.
22'
Sonko M.
32'
Vergara J.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Genk and Gent finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Genk
35%
Draws
38%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Genk haven't matched Gent's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Genk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Genk Clean Sheet 16%
Gent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Gent
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 14 16
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.58 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
1:1
May 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:1
May 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Durosinmi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 36 / 100
Gent 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Genk scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Gent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Gent
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 7

Gent

(Away)
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
27 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 3
Gent
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
2 Gent 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)