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Genk vs Kortrijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
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Match Events

3' Event
Heymans D.
13' Event
Murray-Campbell H.
Own Goal
15'
Campbell S.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Genk and Kortrijk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Genk
15%
Draws
12%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genk come out ahead of Kortrijk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Genk Clean Sheet 20%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Kortrijk
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Kortrijk
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Kortrijk
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Genk
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Kortrijk
4:0
Oct 29, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Genk
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Heymans D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durosinmi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kortrijk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 85 / 100
Kortrijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kortrijk let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Genk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Kortrijk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Kortrijk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
12 Nov
Genk
1 : 3
Eupen
08 Nov
Royale Union SG
1 : 0
Genk
31 Oct
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Genk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
17 Oct
Virton
0 : 2
Genk
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Kortrijk

(Away)
08 Nov
Gent
1 : 0
Kortrijk
04 Nov
Kortrijk
1 : 3
KV Mechelen
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)