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Genk vs Kortrijk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genk host Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kortrijk have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Genk have conceded 1.64 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Genk have won 3 to Kortrijk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2024, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 0.94) point toward Genk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Genk
30%
Draws
23%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Genk have managed 1.61 goals a game lately — Kortrijk are scoring more at 1.66.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Genk Clean Sheet 20%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Kortrijk
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Kortrijk
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Genk
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Kortrijk
4:0
Oct 29, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Genk
0:3
Dec 26, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Genk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 85 / 100
Kortrijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Genk scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Kortrijk conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Genk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Kortrijk
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
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Kortrijk

(Away)
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)