Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genk vs SK Beveren

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Durosinmi R.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Ito J.
29'
Gomis Y.

AI Match Summary

Genk in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Genk
15%
Draws
32%
SK Beveren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SK Beveren lately — more wins on the board than Genk.
  • Genk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Genk Clean Sheet 68%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk SK Beveren
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 22
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.66 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs SK Beveren
4:0
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Genk vs SK Beveren
2:1
Oct 30, 2024 Belgian Cup
SK Beveren vs Genk
0:2
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Genk vs SK Beveren
0:0
Dec 27, 2020 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs SK Beveren
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kongolo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

SK Beveren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 95 / 100
SK Beveren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk SK Beveren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: SK Beveren conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Genk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS SK Beveren
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
02 Aug
Genk
2 : 1
Twente
Page 1 of 7

SK Beveren

(Away)
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
16 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Anderlecht
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
01 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charleroi 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
3 Gent 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
4 Waregem 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 St. Liege 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Genk 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
8 Lommel SK 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
9 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
10 St. Truiden 3 1 2 0 8:5 5
11 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 SK Beveren 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
13 Cercle Brugge 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
14 KV Mechelen 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
15 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
16 Westerlo 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
17 Leuven 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
18 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)