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Genk vs St. Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genk host St. Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. St. Liege have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Genk have conceded 1.53 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor St. Liege slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward St. Liege. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Genk
20%
Draws
44%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Genk haven't matched St. Liege's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Genk Clean Sheet 14%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk St. Liege
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Liege
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Liege
0:3
Aug 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 57 / 100
St. Liege 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Genk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS St. Liege
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2
Sittard
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
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St. Liege

(Away)
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)