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Genk vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genk host Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Westerlo have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Genk have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Genk have won 4 to Westerlo's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.06) point toward Genk. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Genk
20%
Draws
38%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Genk have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Genk Clean Sheet 20%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Westerlo
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 42 / 100
Westerlo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Westerlo conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Westerlo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Westerlo
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
08 Jul
Genk
2 : 1
SK Beveren
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Westerlo

(Away)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)