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Genk vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ourega D.
Assist: Congreve C.
8'
Durosinmi R.
13' Event
Smets M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Genk in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Genk
35%
Draws
41%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Genk have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Westerlo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:2
May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Heynen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bibout A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ourega D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 34 / 100
Westerlo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Westerlo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Genk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Westerlo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
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Westerlo

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)