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Genk vs Westerlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Cegeka Arena, Genk
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ourega D.
Assist: Congreve C.
8'
Durosinmi R.
13' Event
Smets M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Genk in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Genk
15%
Draws
46%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Genk have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Westerlo
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:2
May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Heynen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bibout A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ourega D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 47 / 100
Westerlo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Westerlo conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Genk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Westerlo
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
12 Nov
Genk
1 : 3
Eupen
08 Nov
Royale Union SG
1 : 0
Genk
31 Oct
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Genk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
17 Oct
Virton
0 : 2
Genk
Page 1 of 7

Westerlo

(Away)
07 Nov
Westerlo
1 : 5
Charleroi
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
Westerlo
2 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)