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Genk W vs Mechelen W

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Women 2025/2026
Genk W Logo

Genk W

5 - 0
FT
Mechelen W Logo

Mechelen W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Genk W in this Belgian Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Genk W
35%
Draws
45%
Mechelen W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mechelen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Genk W haven't matched Mechelen W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mechelen W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Mechelen W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Genk W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Genk W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Genk W Clean Sheet 20%
Mechelen W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk W Mechelen W
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Belgian Cup Women
Genk W vs Mechelen W
5:0
Dec 17, 2023 Super League Women
Mechelen W vs Genk W
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Super League Women
Genk W vs Mechelen W
4:1
Jan 28, 2023 Super League Women
Mechelen W vs Genk W
0:4
Oct 28, 2022 Super League Women
Genk W vs Mechelen W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk W 10 / 100
Mechelen W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk W Mechelen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechelen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Genk W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mechelen W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Genk W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk W VS Mechelen W
1 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk W

(Home)
25 Sept
Genk W
2 : 0
Gent W
19 Sept
Club Brugge W
1 : 0
Genk W
12 Sept
Genk W
0 : 0
Leuven W
05 Sept
RSC Anderlecht W
4 : 0
Genk W
14 Aug
Genk W
0 : 0
Westerlo W
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Mechelen W

(Away)
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
12 Sept
Mechelen W
1 : 1
RSC Anderlecht II W
04 Sept
Leuven II W
0 : 2
Mechelen W
29 Aug
Mechelen W
3 : 0
Club Brugge II W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Club Brugge W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leuven W -
Drongen W 1
RAAL La Louviere W 4
TBD -
Westerlo W -
RSC Anderlecht W -
TBD -
Famkes Oostende W 0
Ninove W 5
Gent W -
TBD -
TBD -
Standard Liege W -
Genk W -
TBD -
Mechelen W 5
Bredene W 0
VC Moldavo W 0
Olsa Brakel W 5
Patro Eisden W 0
Femina Woluwe W 30
Waregem W -
TBD -
Tienen W 5
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar W 0
Bilzen United W 5
RWDM Brussels W 1
FC Diepenbeek W 3
Mons W 4
1/8-finals
Club Brugge W 1
Leuven W 0
RAAL La Louviere W 1
Westerlo W 5
RSC Anderlecht W 7
Ninove W 0
Gent W 1
Standard Liege W 0
Genk W 5
Mechelen W 0
Olsa Brakel W 9
Femina Woluwe W 3
Waregem W 3
Tienen W 1
Bilzen United W 2
Mons W 0
Quarter-finals
Club Brugge W 4
Westerlo W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 2
Gent W 1
Genk W -
Olsa Brakel W -
Waregem W 3
Bilzen United W 0
Semi-finals
Club Brugge W 2
RSC Anderlecht W 4
Genk W 1
Waregem W 3
Final
RSC Anderlecht W 3
Waregem W 0