Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa vs Napoli

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genoa host Napoli in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Genoa at 0.75 goals for, 1 against; Napoli at 1.38 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Napoli slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.19, favoring Napoli. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Genoa
17%
Draws
70%
Napoli
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Napoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Genoa Clean Sheet 20%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Napoli
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa
2:1
May 11, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 16 / 100
Napoli 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Napoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Genoa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Napoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Genoa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Napoli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0
Genoa
17 May
Genoa
1 : 2
AC Milan
10 May
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Genoa
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
26 Apr
Genoa
0 : 2
Como
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Napoli

(Away)
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0
Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3
Bologna
02 May
Como
0 : 0
Napoli
24 Apr
Napoli
4 : 0
Cremonese
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)