Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Baroncelli L.
37'
Papadopoulos C.
40'
Braschi R.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Genoa U19 and Fiorentina U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genoa U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Genoa U19
15%
Draws
26%
Fiorentina U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina U19's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Genoa U19 have produced (1.43).
  • Model gives Genoa U19 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Genoa U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa U19 Fiorentina U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.43 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19
3:2
Dec 6, 2023 Coppa Italia Primavera
Fiorentina U19 vs Genoa U19
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Genoa U19
1:1
Apr 6, 2023 Coppa Italia Primavera
Fiorentina U19 vs Genoa U19
3:2
Apr 10, 2022 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Papadopoulos C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parravicini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baroncelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa U19 84 / 100
Fiorentina U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa U19 Fiorentina U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Genoa U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Genoa U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa U19 VS Fiorentina U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa U19

(Home)
19 May
Genoa U19
2 : 4
Sassuolo U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Genoa U19
3 : 1
Juventus U19
27 Apr
Verona U19
1 : 3
Genoa U19
20 Apr
Genoa U19
3 : 2
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)